Red wave or anti-blue wave? Experts differ.
Oregon House and Senate Republican caucus leaders are releasing
statewide polling that shows that Oregonians desperately want change. The poll -- conducted by the national firm Cygnal -- of likely general election voters view elected Democrats in the legislature unfavorably by 13.6%.
57% think Oregon is headed in the wrong direction and likely voters say they prefer the generic Republican candidate by 4.6%. Christine Drazan leads the gubernatorial ballot by a point.
“Tina Kotek and House Democrats have been responsible for the last decade of Oregon decline,†House Republican Leader Vikki Breese-Iverson said. “Their status quo has led to Oregonians struggling under an extra layer of inflation, with higher gas prices and higher costs of living than other parts of the country. We have a chance to balance Oregon this year and Republican candidates are running on that message.
Change will only happen in Oregon if Republicans are put in the Governor’s mansion and legislature.â€
According to the pollster, Cygnal, Democrats from Salem to Washington, DC are drowning in the polls. Things have never looked worse for Democrats in Oregon. Even in the wake of Dobbs, Democrats at every level of government are taking the full brunt of voter’s frustrations.
Joe Biden remains incredibly unpopular with a net favorability of -17%. Nearly every demographic has a net unfavorable view of the President with more than 2/3 of NAVs dissatisfied with Biden (53% very unfavorable).

They say that Tina Kotek is even more unpopular than Joe Biden with a net favorability of -18%. With confidence in the direction of the state dismal, voters are turning to the GOP. Among their findings:
- Nearly 60% of voters believe Oregon is on the wrong track, (45% definitely).
- Republicans can be more than optimistic sitting on an R+4.6 generic ballot.
- NAVs are overwhelmingly going for the Republican on the generic ballot (R+20).
- With 10% undecided, Republicans have room to increase their lead especially among seniors.
“It’s clear that Oregonians want change and balance,†said Senate Republican Leader Tim Knopp. “They are fed up with higher prices, lower standards of living, and rampant homelessness and crime. Democrat leadership has made all these issues worse over the last decade of one-party rule. Our candidates are going to press these issues with common sense solutions.â€
--Staff ReportsPost Date: 2022-07-07 11:56:43 | Last Update: 2022-07-07 16:35:44 |