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Analysis: The National Impact of Redistricting
The congressional map as a referendum on politics

During the recent redistricting seven seats changed locations as populations across the country fluctuated.

StateSeats
Gained
or Lost
Texas+2
Colorado+1
Florida+1
Montana+1
North Carolina+1
Oregon+1
California-1
Illinois-1
Michigan-1
New York-1
Ohio-1
Pennsylvania-1
West Virginia-1
Seats were gained by red states in Texas (2 seats) and Montana and by blue states Oregon and Colorado. Swing states Florida and North Carolina also gained seats.

Large blue states took a beating in the loss column. Blue California, Illinois, New York and Michigan all lost seats, perhaps showing the flight from failed, liberal, union-run, rust-belt states. The swing states of Ohio, West Virginia and Pennsylvania also each lost a seat. No red state lost a seat.

The national impact? In a Congress separated by a razor-thin eight seat margin in a 435 seat body, the redistricting results alone could tip the balance of power toward Republicans -- and that's before any political factors are taken into consideration.

Pundits have blasted the legislatively passed maps in Oregon as biased and gerrymandered -- and born out of the broken word of Oregon House Speaker Tina Kotek (D-Portland) -- and they still have to endure the scrutiny of the Oregon Supreme Court, but there may be hope for Republicans.

Insiders say that despite Oregon's deep blue shade, the Congressional map in Oregon may be spread so thin, as to allow Republicans to elect two or even three Congressional Representatives.


--Staff Reports

Post Date: 2021-10-07 11:02:37Last Update: 2021-10-07 12:49:09



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